• 2011 February 17

    Prospects for the development of the Russian container market

    Analytical agency Infranews has completed a study “The Russian container market 2010-11, new horizons." The figures are stable. Neither breakthroughs nor new quality are to be observed.

    Turnover at birth of all Russian containers grew by 47,6% year on year - to make 4.06 million TEUs. However, it is 9,2% less compared with 2008. We expect that in 2011 the 2008 turnover will be surpassed. Probably, at birth it will reach 5 million TEUs. This figure includes both the turnover of the Russian terminals and the transit traffic via the terminals of the Baltic States, Finland and Ukraine.

    Railway container turnover has increased by 32% compared to 2009 - to 2.53 million TEUs. At that this is cleared from the share of the container traffic already factored in the ports, which is further taken up by rail. As a result, the total container turnover in Russia, after deduction of all recorded double containers rose by 41% - to 6.3 million TEUs.

    Excess container handling capacity within Russia will reach1.627 million TEUs by 2012. Given the exceesive capacities in Finland and the Baltic states the total spare capacity will reach 2.4 million TEUs. At that the overall operating handling capacity of the terminals serving the Russian market will exceed 7 million TEUs in 2012.

    Excessive rail capacity will be about 1.5 million TEUs.

    In the year 2012the turnover of trucks in container terminals serving the Russian market will grow by 20%. Turnover, counted in calls will reach 2.3 million. This would require 26 thousand trucks in the Big port of St. Petersburg only (if we take 7 days for a round trip). Somwhat less in other less. The whole country will need another 20 thousand cars.

    containerization is the major. And it is rather simple. The problem lies in the cost of container logistics for exporters. It toughens against the backdrop of the deficit of empty twenty-feet containers. Empty containers for export are in short supply, not only as a kind of notional unit: at times it is impossible to ship.

    The reason is simple – there are very few heavy slots suitable for Russian export containers. That is the way modern container vessels are built. Nominally designed to take 12-13 thousand TEUs the vessels can actually take at max 10 thousand TEUs in terms of loaded containers, and 7 thousand TEUs where Russian exports is concerned. Besides the weight of the box, the balancing of the vessel stability is to be ensured. Simply put - all the fleet of large container vessles is constructed to be run on the trans-Pacific trade and are not suitable to serve the feeder shoulder on the Baltics in the part of the delivery of Russian exports to consumers.

    Global giants are developing their business in Russia in a linear manner but not meaningfully. For example, two services launched by Maersk Line in less than a year are only pulling out the most lucrative segment out of the feeder traffic into a line. This allows make the economy of reefer delivery, but does not prove the efficiency of a linear communication between St. Petersburg and the countries producing goods and products. This is just a matter of particular revenue.

    So, despite the significant progress and growth of the Russian container business there are still a lot of problems, and prospects, too.

    INFRANEWS completed a study of "The container market in Russia 2010-11, and new horizons." Follow the link to get more details >>>>
     

    Alexey Bezborodov